U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Climb for First Time in Three Years
The analysis by the Rhodium Group showed emissions rising 2.4% after two consecutive years of decline, outpacing economic growth despite rapid expansion in solar power.
“Emissions also grew faster than the economy in 2025, with real GDP expanding by a projected 1.9% -- reversing the decoupling of emissions and economic activity of the prior two years,” the report said.
The bulk of the increase came from the buildings and power sectors. Colder winter temperatures drove heating demand higher, while elevated gas prices and stronger electricity consumption triggered more coal fired generation.
Coal use jumped 13% last year, while overall fuel consumption rose nearly 7% compared with 2024, the report noted.
Other sectors saw limited changes: industrial emissions edged up with stronger activity, and oil and gas emissions increased slightly with higher production.
Despite record travel volumes, transportation emissions held steady as hybrid and electric vehicle adoption continued to expand.
The report added that US emissions in 2025 were “not meaningfully impacted” by policies enacted by the Trump administration, though it warned those measures could play a larger role in the years ahead.
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